Part VI
Imaging & Diagnosis
How modern neuroimaging — non-contrast CT, CT angiography, CT perfusion, and multimodal MRI — transforms a clinical impression into a treatable diagnosis, and how perfusion-based selection has stretched the therapeutic window from 4.5 hours to 24.
1. Imaging in Acute Stroke — The Goal
From the moment a suspected stroke patient enters the emergency department, imaging must answer three operational questions in succession. Every downstream therapeutic decision — thrombolysis, thrombectomy, hemicraniectomy, BP target, ICU admission — flows from these answers.
Question 1
Blood or no blood?
Distinguish ischaemia from haemorrhage. NCCT is sensitive (~98–100%) for acute parenchymal blood. Mandatory before any thrombolytic.
Question 2
Where is the clot?
Identify a large-vessel occlusion (LVO) amenable to thrombectomy — ICA terminus, M1, proximal M2, basilar. CTA is the workhorse.
Question 3
How much is salvageable?
Estimate the ischaemic core (irreversibly injured) versus thepenumbra (hypoperfused but viable). CT perfusion or DWI/PWI MRI.
The same triad governs decision-making in every modern stroke pathway. Note the ordering: a haemorrhage on NCCT halts the LVO-and-perfusion track entirely. The guiding principle (Powers et al., AHA 2019; ESO 2021): imaging should never delay treatment — door-to-needle < 45 min, door-to-puncture < 90 min — but it must be detailed enough to identify the ~10–15% of patients in the late window who can still benefit from reperfusion.
2. Non-Contrast CT (NCCT)
The first scan in nearly every stroke pathway. NCCT is fast (< 1 min acquisition), ubiquitous, and exquisitely sensitive for acute blood. Its weakness — the limitation that drives the rest of this chapter — is poor sensitivity for early ischaemic change.
Acute haemorrhage on NCCT
Fresh extravasated blood is hyperdense (60–80 HU) versus grey matter (~35 HU) because of haemoglobin’s electron density. Sensitivity within minutes of onset is ~98–100% for parenchymal haemorrhage and ~95% for subarachnoid haemorrhage (falling to ~85% by 24 h, <50% by 1 week as blood becomes isodense).
See Part IV for the full radiology of ICH and SAH.
Acute ischaemia on NCCT
Sensitivity is poor in the first 3 h (~30–50%) and only modestly better at 6 h (~60–70%). Specificity, however, remains high (>90%). Subtle early signs reflect cytotoxic oedema lowering tissue density by ~2–4 HU per hour.
Early ischaemic signs on NCCT
| Sign | What you see | Mechanism |
|---|---|---|
| Hyperdense MCA sign | Bright tubular density along the M1 segment (~70–90 HU) | Fresh thrombus in the lumen; sens ~30%, spec ~95% |
| MCA “dot” sign | Hyperdense focus in the Sylvian fissure (M2/M3) | Distal embolus |
| Loss of grey-white differentiation | Indistinct interface in basal ganglia, insular ribbon, or cortex | Cytotoxic oedema reduces grey-matter density |
| Insular ribbon sign | Loss of the thin grey-matter ribbon along the insular cortex | Insular cortex is end-territory of MCA — first to lose perfusion |
| Obscured lentiform nucleus | Lenticular hypodensity / blurring | Lenticulostriate end-arteries; early sign in proximal MCA occlusion |
| Sulcal effacement | Loss of the cortical sulcal pattern | Mass effect from cytotoxic oedema |
Tissue density follows the classical Hounsfield relation \(HU = 1000 \cdot (\mu_{tissue} - \mu_{water})/\mu_{water}\). Early ischaemic oedema raises water content by ~1% per hour, dropping density ~2.5 HU/h — right at the limit of human visual perception. This is why experienced readers consistently outperform novices on NCCT and why automated tools (e-ASPECTS, Brainomix) are increasingly deployed at the front door.
3. ASPECTS — Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score
Barber et al. (Lancet 2000) introduced ASPECTS to quantify early ischaemic change on NCCT in anterior circulation stroke. The MCA territory is divided into 10 standardised regions — one point is subtracted for each region showing hypodensity or grey-white loss. A normal scan scores 10; a scan with diffuse MCA hypodensity scores 0.
Figure 1 — ASPECTS regions on two axial levels
The 10 regions, scored on two axial slices:
Basal-ganglia level (7 regions)
- C — caudate
- L — lentiform nucleus
- IC — internal capsule
- I — insular ribbon
- M1 — anterior MCA cortex
- M2 — MCA cortex lateral to insular ribbon
- M3 — posterior MCA cortex
Supraganglionic level (3 regions)
- M4 — anterior MCA cortex (above ganglia)
- M5 — lateral MCA cortex
- M6 — posterior MCA cortex
ASPECTS is anterior-circulation only. Posterior fossa uses pc-ASPECTS(10 points: pons, midbrain, cerebellum, occipital, thalamus).
≥ 6
Favours reperfusion
Eligible for IV thrombolysis and thrombectomy in standard pathways
3–5
Borderline
SELECT2 / RESCUE-Japan LIMIT (2022) showed thrombectomy benefit even at low ASPECTS
< 3
Large established core
High haemorrhagic transformation risk; selection becomes individualised
Inter-rater reliability is moderate (κ ~0.5–0.7) and improves with automated software (e-ASPECTS, RAPID ASPECTS). The score remains the most widely used quantifier of early ischaemic change on NCCT and is built into virtually every modern thrombectomy trial inclusion criterion.
4. CT Angiography (CTA)
CTA is the principal LVO-detection tool. A timed iodinated contrast bolus (~50–80 mL at 4–5 mL/s) is acquired during peak arterial enhancement, from aortic arch through circle of Willis. It answers four questions essential for thrombectomy planning.
1. Is there an LVO?
Sensitivity for LVO is ~92–100% versus DSA gold standard, specificity >95%. Targets: ICA terminus, M1, proximal M2, basilar, P1. Distal M3/M4 occlusions are harder to see — multiphase CTA helps.
2. M1 vs M2?
Proximal (M1) occlusions have larger downstream territory and stronger thrombectomy benefit (NNT ~2–3). Distal M2 thrombectomy benefit is real but smaller (NNT ~5–7); decision is individualised.
3. Tandem cervical lesion?
~15% of LVOs have a concurrent ipsilateral cervical ICA stenosis or occlusion. Identifying this changes the procedure (carotid stenting plus intracranial thrombectomy) and risks (extra antiplatelet burden, higher haemorrhage rate).
4. Collaterals?
Pial collateral filling on CTA / multiphase CTA strongly predicts core size and outcome. Tan score, Maas score, ESCAPE collateral grading: 0 (none) to 3 (good). Good collaterals = small core = thrombectomy benefit even in late window.
Multiphase CTA (Menon, Radiology 2015) acquires three sequential phases (peak arterial, mid-venous, late-venous) and dramatically improves collateral assessment. It is now standard at most comprehensive stroke centres and approximates a poor-man’s CT perfusion when full CTP is unavailable.
Contrast safety: contrast-induced nephropathy in modern protocols is ~2–5% even at moderately reduced eGFR; ESO and AHA guidelines do not require eGFR before emergent stroke CTA.
5. CT Perfusion (CTP) — the flagship
CT perfusion images brain haemodynamics, not anatomy. A continuous cine acquisition is performed during a contrast bolus; voxel-wise time-density curves are generated, and a deconvolution against an arterial input function (AIF) yields quantitative perfusion maps. CTP is the modality that most powerfully extends the therapeutic window beyond 6 hours.
The four standard perfusion maps
| Parameter | Definition | Normal | In ischaemia |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBF | Cerebral blood flow (mL / 100 g / min) | 50–60 GM, 20 WM | Reduced (core < 30%) |
| CBV | Cerebral blood volume (mL / 100 g) | 4–5 GM, 2 WM | Preserved in penumbra; reduced in core |
| MTT | Mean transit time (s) | 3–5 s | Prolonged |
| Tmax | Time to maximum residue function (s) | < 4 s | Penumbra Tmax > 6 s |
The central indicator dilution relation: \(CBF = CBV / MTT\) (the central volume principle, Meier & Zierler 1954). The voxel time-density curve \(C(t)\) is the convolution of the AIF with the tissue residue function \(R(t)\):
Deconvolution recovers \(R(t)\), from which Tmax (the time at which \(R\) peaks) and CBF (its peak value) are read directly. CBV is the integral \(\int C(t)\,dt / \int AIF(t)\,dt\). The apparent diffusion coefficient on DWI MRI obeys an analogous Stejskal–Tanner relation \(S = S_0 e^{-b \cdot ADC}\) (see section 6).
Core vs penumbra — the operational definitions
Figure 2 — Tmax / DWI mismatch: core, penumbra, salvageable tissue
Core (irreversibly injured)
CBF < 30% of contralateral or absolute < ~10–12 mL/100 g/min. Equivalent to DWI lesion on MRI. Failure of CBV indicates loss of capillary autoregulation — tissue is dead.
Operational threshold (DEFUSE-3, RAPID): CBF < 30% contralateral.
Penumbra (salvageable)
Tmax > 6 s but CBV preserved. Tissue is electrically silent but membrane pumps still function (~12–25 mL/100 g/min). Reperfusion within hours rescues function. See Part III for the underlying biology.
Mismatch = penumbra volume − core volume.
Automated processing — RAPID, Olea, Viz.ai
The 2018 thrombectomy trials would have been impossible without automated CTP post-processing. Three platforms dominate clinical practice:
RAPID (iSchemaView)
The reference platform of DEFUSE-3, DAWN. Outputs core (CBF < 30%) and penumbra (Tmax > 6 s) volumes, mismatch volume and ratio, automated reads pushed to phones via app. ~3–5 min processing.
Olea Sphere
Bayesian deconvolution offering tighter quantification at low SNR. Multi-modal — CT and MR perfusion in one workflow. Used widely in Europe.
Viz.ai (Viz LVO / Viz CTP)
AI-based LVO detection on CTA with automated stroke-team paging (~6 min image-to-alert). FDA cleared 2018. Reduces door-to-puncture by ~25 min in registry data.
6. MRI in Acute Stroke
MRI is more sensitive than CT for ischaemia (DWI sensitivity ~95% within minutes), detects posterior-fossa stroke far better, and is the only modality that distinguishes haemorrhage age. Its weaknesses are availability, scan time (~10–15 min for a full stroke protocol), and patient screening (pacemaker, claustrophobia).
The acute stroke MRI protocol
| Sequence | What it shows | Time onset |
|---|---|---|
| DWI | Restricted diffusion in cytotoxic oedema (bright) | Minutes |
| ADC map | Quantitative diffusion (dark in restriction); excludes T2 shine-through | Minutes |
| FLAIR | Vasogenic oedema; old lesions; CSF nulled | ~3–6 h after onset |
| GRE / SWI | Microbleeds, haemorrhage, susceptibility (deoxy-Hb) | Minutes (haem. + microbleeds) |
| T2 | Vasogenic oedema, old lesions | Hours |
| MRA / CE-MRA | Vessel patency, occlusion site, dissection | Immediate |
| PWI (DSC) | Perfusion (Tmax, CBF, CBV) | Immediate |
DWI — the diffusion sequence
DWI exploits Brownian motion of water. Stejskal–Tanner gradients dephase moving spins; restricted water (in cytotoxic oedema) retains signal while freely diffusing water loses it. The signal obeys \(S(b) = S_0 \, e^{-b \cdot ADC}\), where \(b\) is the diffusion weighting (typically 1000 s/mm²) and ADC the apparent diffusion coefficient. Acute infarct ADC drops to ~400–600 × 10⁻⁶ mm²/s (normal ~800–900). The mechanism: failure of Na⁺/K⁺-ATPase (see Part III) shifts water from extracellular to intracellular space — intracellular water diffuses less freely.
DWI sensitivity for ischaemic stroke at presentation: ~95% (vs ~50% for early NCCT); specificity ~95% as well. DWI lesion volume is the imaging gold standard for ischaemic core.
DWI–FLAIR mismatch — dating the unwitnessed stroke
FLAIR signal change in an ischaemic lesion lags DWI by 3–6 h. So a positive DWI lesion without matching FLAIR change indicates ischaemia onset less than ~4.5 h ago. This is the imaging trick that allowed WAKE-UP trial (Thomalla, NEJM 2018) to treat “wake-up strokes” with alteplase: among 503 patients with unknown onset and a DWI–FLAIR mismatch, alteplase improved 90-day mRS (53% vs 42% with mRS 0–1, p=0.02), at the cost of more intracranial haemorrhages.
GRE / SWI — the haemorrhage detector
Susceptibility-weighted imaging exploits the magnetic susceptibility of paramagnetic haemoglobin breakdown products. Acute deoxy-haemoglobin and met-haemoglobin produce dramatic signal loss (“blooming”). SWI detects:
- Acute haemorrhage — comparable sensitivity to NCCT
- Cerebral microbleeds — predictor of post-thrombolysis haemorrhage and amyloid angiopathy
- Haemorrhagic transformation of infarct
- Susceptibility vessel sign — thrombus visible as a blooming linear focus in M1
When MRI first? Posterior-fossa syndromes (vertigo, ataxia, diplopia) where NCCT is blind to small infarcts; suspected stroke mimic (multiple sclerosis, encephalitis); subacute presentations > 24 h where the perfusion question is moot. Otherwise CT-first remains standard because of speed and availability.
7. The 4.5 h Window vs 6 h vs 24 h — the flagship
Modern acute stroke care is organised around three time windows, each defined by a landmark clinical trial. Imaging is the gatekeeper that determines which window a given patient occupies.
The trial-defined windows
| Window | Therapy | Defining trial(s) | Imaging required |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0–3 h | IV alteplase | NINDS rt-PA (NEJM 1995) | NCCT (exclude blood) |
| 3–4.5 h | IV alteplase / tenecteplase | ECASS-3 (NEJM 2008) | NCCT (exclude blood & large established core) |
| 0–6 h, LVO | Mechanical thrombectomy | MR CLEAN, ESCAPE, EXTEND-IA, SWIFT-PRIME, REVASCAT (NEJM 2015) | NCCT + CTA, ASPECTS ≥ 6 |
| 6–16 h, LVO | Mechanical thrombectomy | DEFUSE-3 (NEJM 2018) | CTP / DWI–PWI mismatch |
| 6–24 h, LVO | Mechanical thrombectomy | DAWN (NEJM 2018) | Clinical–imaging mismatch (NIHSS vs core) |
| Unknown onset / wake-up | IV alteplase | WAKE-UP (NEJM 2018), EXTEND (NEJM 2019) | DWI–FLAIR mismatch / perfusion mismatch |
| Large core (low ASPECTS) | Mechanical thrombectomy | RESCUE-Japan LIMIT, SELECT2, ANGEL-ASPECT (2022–23) | NCCT + CTA, ASPECTS 3–5 |
Trial readouts — the numbers that built modern practice
DAWN (Nogueira, NEJM 2018)
Clinical–imaging mismatch, 6–24 h
206 patients with LVO and a small core (RAPID-defined: < 21 mL if age ≥ 80; < 31 mL if age < 80 with NIHSS ≥ 10; < 51 mL if NIHSS ≥ 20) randomised to thrombectomy or control.
- 90-day functional independence (mRS 0–2): 49% vs 13% (p < 0.001)
- Number needed to treat: 2.8
- Symptomatic ICH: 6% vs 3% (n.s.)
- Trial stopped early for efficacy
DEFUSE-3 (Albers, NEJM 2018)
Perfusion mismatch, 6–16 h
182 patients with LVO and a target mismatch profile on RAPID CTP / MRI: core < 70 mL, mismatch ratio ≥ 1.8, mismatch volume ≥ 15 mL.
- 90-day functional independence: 45% vs 17% (p < 0.001)
- NNT: 3.6
- Symptomatic ICH: 7% vs 4% (n.s.)
- Trial also stopped early for efficacy
EXTEND (Ma, NEJM 2019)
IV alteplase 4.5–9 h with mismatch
225 patients with perfusion mismatch (core < 70 mL, mismatch ratio > 1.2, absolute mismatch > 10 mL) randomised to alteplase vs placebo at 4.5–9 h.
- mRS 0–1 at 90 d: 35% vs 30% (adjusted RR 1.44, p=0.04)
- Symptomatic ICH: 6% vs 1% (p=0.05)
- Established that imaging selection extends the IV-lysis window
ECASS-3 (Hacke, NEJM 2008)
IV alteplase 3–4.5 h
821 patients randomised to alteplase or placebo 3–4.5 h after stroke. The trial that established the modern 4.5 h ceiling.
- mRS 0–1 at 90 d: 52% vs 45% (OR 1.34, p=0.04)
- Symptomatic ICH: 2.4% vs 0.2%
- NNT for one extra independent outcome: ~14
Selecting from time vs selecting from tissue
The conceptual revolution of the late 2010s: stop selecting patients by the clock and start selecting them by their brain. A patient at 22 h with a 25 mL core and 90 mL penumbra has more salvageable tissue than a patient at 4 h with a 60 mL core. The first benefits from thrombectomy; the second probably does not.
The unifying generalisation of DAWN, DEFUSE-3, EXTEND and WAKE-UP: any imaging proxy for “significant living tissue downstream of an occlusion” — whether perfusion mismatch, clinical–core mismatch, or DWI–FLAIR mismatch — identifies a population that benefits from late reperfusion. The 2022–2023 large-core trials (RESCUE-Japan LIMIT, SELECT2, ANGEL-ASPECT, TENSION) extended this further by showing benefit even at ASPECTS 3–5.
8. Imaging Haemorrhagic Stroke
Haemorrhagic stroke imaging answers a different question: not “is there salvageable tissue?” but “will this haematoma expand, and what is the underlying lesion?” See Part IV for the clinical/pathological framework.
CT spot sign — predicting expansion
The spot sign on CTA (Wada, Stroke 2007) is a focus of contrast extravasation within an acute parenchymal haematoma. It identifies active bleeding into the haematoma and predicts subsequent expansion.
~30%
prevalence in acute ICH
~50% / 85%
sens / spec for expansion
OR ~5
odds of significant expansion
Quantitative spot-sign scores (number of spots, maximum dimension, density) refine the prediction. PREDICT (Lancet Neurol 2012) validated the score across centres. Practical use: triage to neurosurgical observation; trigger BP control to systolic < 140 mmHg (INTERACT-2, ATACH-2); consider haemostatic therapy in selected cases (although SPOTLIGHT and STOP-IT showed no benefit of factor VIIa).
MRI haemorrhage age — the haemoglobin lifecycle
MRI dating of intraparenchymal blood depends on the magnetic state of haemoglobin and its breakdown products. Each species has distinct T1 and T2 properties because of its electron configuration (oxy = diamagnetic; deoxy/met = paramagnetic; haemosiderin = superparamagnetic in macrophages).
| Stage | Time | Species | T1 | T2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperacute | < 24 h | Oxy-Hb (intracellular) | iso/dark | bright |
| Acute | 1–3 d | Deoxy-Hb (intracellular) | iso/dark | dark |
| Early subacute | 3–7 d | Met-Hb (intracellular) | bright | dark |
| Late subacute | 1–4 wk | Met-Hb (extracellular) | bright | bright |
| Chronic | > 4 wk | Haemosiderin / ferritin | dark | very dark |
Mnemonic (the “IB-ID-BD-BB-DD” sequence on T1 / T2 across the five stages): the magnetic susceptibility of iron drives the contrast change. SWI/GRE remain positive for years and reveal old microbleeds even when other sequences have normalised — an essential clue for cerebral amyloid angiopathy (lobar microbleeds) versus hypertensive vasculopathy (deep microbleeds).
9. Vascular Imaging Beyond the Acute Window
Beyond the first hours, vascular imaging answers the secondary-prevention questions: what was the source, is the parent vessel diseased, will it bleed again, will it clot again?
Digital subtraction angiography (DSA)
Gold standard for aneurysm and AVM characterisation, dural fistula, vasculitis with small-vessel beading. Spatial resolution ~0.2 mm exceeds CTA/MRA. Indicated for ruptured aneurysm planning, AVM Spetzler grading, and equivocal non-invasive studies.
Risks: ~0.5–1% transient neurological event; ~0.1–0.5% permanent stroke from catheter manipulation.
MR angiography (MRA)
Time-of-flight (TOF) MRA at 3 T offers ~85–95% sensitivity for > 50% intracranial stenosis without contrast. Contrast-enhanced MRA improves cervical-segment accuracy. Useful for follow-up of treated aneurysms (no radiation, no iodine).
Limitation: turbulent or slow flow gives signal dropout, mimicking stenosis.
Carotid duplex ultrasound
First-line screening for cervical ICA stenosis. Velocity criteria:
- PSV > 125 cm/s — > 50% stenosis
- PSV > 230 cm/s + EDV > 100 cm/s — > 70% stenosis
- PSV > 400 cm/s — near-occlusion
Bedside, low-cost, no contrast. Confirm with CTA or MRA before revascularisation.
Transcranial Doppler (TCD)
Insonation through the temporal window measures velocities in the MCA, ACA, PCA, basilar. Indications:
- SAH vasospasm screening (MCA > 200 cm/s)
- Microembolic signal monitoring (e.g., post-CEA)
- Bubble study for right-to-left shunt (PFO)
- Sickle-cell stroke prevention (STOP trial: TCD > 200 cm/s → transfusion)
10. Diagnostic Workup of Cryptogenic Stroke
About 25% of ischaemic strokes remain “cryptogenic” after standard evaluation — no large-artery stenosis, no AF on standard ECG, no obvious cardioembolic source, no small-vessel disease pattern. The contemporary subcategory ESUS (Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source) defines a non-lacunar infarct without identified cause that nevertheless looks embolic. The workup chases six classes of source.
1. Cardiac structural sources — TTE and TEE
Transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) screens for LV thrombus (post-MI, low EF), valvular vegetation, and intracardiac mass. Bubble study during TTE detects PFO with sensitivity ~70%. Transoesophageal echocardiography (TEE) is the higher-yield study for left atrial appendage thrombus, aortic arch atheroma (> 4 mm or mobile), and PFO with atrial septal aneurysm.
2. Occult atrial fibrillation — prolonged monitoring
Two trial families established that AF is the dominant occult source in cryptogenic stroke and that detection scales with monitoring duration:
CRYSTAL-AF (Sanna, NEJM 2014)
Implantable loop recorder
441 cryptogenic stroke patients, ICM vs standard monitoring. AF detection at 6 mo: 8.9% vs 1.4%; at 12 mo 12.4% vs 2.0%; at 36 mo 30% vs 3%. The detection curve continues to climb at 3 years.
EMBRACE (Gladstone, NEJM 2014)
30-day external monitor
572 patients, 30-day event monitor vs 24-h Holter. AF ≥ 30 s detection: 16.1% vs 3.2%; AF ≥ 2.5 min: 9.9% vs 2.5%. Established that even 30 days outperforms standard 24-hour Holter several-fold.
Detection of clinically silent AF mandates anticoagulation (DOAC preferred) per AF guidelines, with stroke-recurrence reduction of ~64%. NAVIGATE-ESUS and RE-SPECT ESUS both showed no benefit of empirical DOACs in undifferentiated ESUS — monitoring to find AF, then anticoagulating, is the winning strategy.
3. Hypercoagulable workup
Targeted in young (< 50 y), recurrent, multi-territory, family history, or concomitant venous thrombosis. Standard panel:
- Antiphospholipid antibodies (lupus anticoagulant, anti-cardiolipin, anti-β2-glycoprotein-I) × 2 readings 12 wk apart
- Factor V Leiden, prothrombin G20210A — controversial in arterial stroke
- Protein C, protein S, antithrombin — check off-anticoagulation, off-acute-phase
- Homocysteine (modest effect)
- JAK2 V617F if polycythaemia / thrombocytosis
- Sickle-cell screening in appropriate populations
4. Vasculitis serologies
In young stroke, multifocal infarcts, or evidence of meningitis: ESR, CRP, ANA, ANCA, complement, RPR, HIV. CSF analysis and MR vessel-wall imaging if primary CNS vasculitis suspected (concentric vessel-wall enhancement). DSA may show characteristic alternating stenoses-and-dilatations. RCVS (reversible cerebral vasoconstriction syndrome) mimics PACNS but resolves in 1–3 months and lacks CSF inflammation.
5. Aortic and large-artery sources
Aortic arch atheroma (TEE plaque > 4 mm or mobile) carries ~12% annual recurrent stroke risk untreated. Cervical artery dissection (carotid or vertebral) accounts for ~20% of strokes in young adults — CTA or fat-suppressed T1 MRI of the neck shows mural haematoma.
6. PFO closure — the modern decision
Three landmark 2017–18 trials (CLOSE, REDUCE, RESPECT) established that percutaneous PFO closure plus antiplatelet beats antiplatelet alone in selected patients (< 60 y, embolic-appearing infarct, large shunt or septal aneurysm, no other source). NNT ~17 over 5 years for stroke prevention. The RoPE score (0–10) estimates the probability that the PFO is causal, guiding closure decisions.