Part VIII
Secondary Prevention & Rehabilitation
After the acute infarct comes the long arc: stopping the next stroke and rebuilding the life. Antithrombotics, anticoagulation, BP, lipids, lifestyle, mechanism-specific interventions, neuroplasticity, and the rehabilitation that determines lived outcome.
1. Why Secondary Prevention is the Highest-Yield Intervention
The first stroke advertises a brain whose vasculature is already deranged. Without treatment, the recurrence risk is steep: ~10% in the first year, ~5% per year thereafter, with a particularly dense early window (TIA confers ~5% stroke risk in 48 h, ~10% in 90 days). Recurrent strokes are also typically worse than the index event — more disability, higher mortality, more dementia.
Unlike acute reperfusion (which buys minutes back from a single event), secondary prevention compounds: a 30% relative risk reduction maintained over 10 years prevents far more disability-adjusted life years than any single thrombolysis. The modifiable factors identified in INTERSTROKE account for ~90% of population-attributable risk — nearly all of it is preventable.
~10%
recurrence in year 1 (untreated)
~80%
of recurrences preventable
3×
disability burden vs. index event
Stroke recurrence is, in principle, the single most preventable neurological catastrophe in adult medicine. The clinical task is simply to actually do it— uptake of evidence-based prevention remains poor in most healthcare systems.
2. Mechanism-Based Approach
Effective prevention follows the TOAST classification (Adams 1993): different mechanisms demand different strategies, and the wrong drug for the wrong mechanism wastes risk reduction or harms the patient.
| TOAST subtype | Share | Primary preventive lever |
|---|---|---|
| Large-artery atherosclerosis (LAA) | ~25% | Antiplatelet + statin + BP; carotid endarterectomy / stenting if symptomatic ≥70% |
| Cardioembolic (AF, valve, LV thrombus) | ~25% | Anticoagulation (DOAC preferred); rhythm/rate control |
| Small-vessel disease (lacunar) | ~25% | BP control (the dominant lever) + antiplatelet + statin |
| Cryptogenic / ESUS | ~25% | Extended rhythm monitoring (ICM); PFO evaluation; antiplatelet (DOAC failed in NAVIGATE-ESUS, RE-SPECT ESUS) |
| Other determined (dissection, vasculitis, hypercoagulable) | <5% | Mechanism-specific (anticoagulant for dissection short-term; immunosuppression; treat thrombophilia) |
Diagnostic work-up therefore aims to nail the mechanism: vessel imaging (carotid duplex, CTA, MRA), cardiac evaluation (echocardiogram, telemetry, often insertable cardiac monitor in ESUS where AF detection rate >30% by 3 years), and serology when indicated (vasculitis, thrombophilia in young stroke).
3. Antiplatelet Therapy
For non-cardioembolic ischaemic stroke and TIA, antiplatelet therapy is the backbone. The major options and their evidence:
Aspirin
Irreversibly acetylates COX-1, abolishing platelet TXA2 for the platelet’s lifespan (~7 days). CAST (20,000 patients) and IST (19,000) showed acute aspirin started within 48 h of ischaemic stroke prevented ~9 deaths or recurrent strokes per 1000 treated. Long-term, aspirin reduces vascular events by ~22% (Antithrombotic Trialists’ Collaboration meta-analysis). Standard dose 75–100 mg/day; higher doses do not improve efficacy and increase bleeding.
Clopidogrel
P2Y12 ADP-receptor antagonist (prodrug, CYP2C19-activated). The CAPRIE trial (Lancet 1996, 19,000 patients) showed clopidogrel marginally better than aspirin for the composite of vascular events (RRR ~8.7%, ARR ~0.5%/year). Clopidogrel monotherapy is a reasonable alternative to aspirin, especially in aspirin-intolerant patients. CYP2C19 loss-of-function alleles (~30% of East Asians) reduce activation; some centres genotype.
Aspirin + Clopidogrel (DAPT) — short-term only
After minor stroke (NIHSS ≤3) or high-risk TIA (ABCD2 ≥4), dual antiplatelet therapy for 21–90 days reduces 90-day recurrence:
- CHANCE (NEJM 2013, China, n=5170) — 21 d aspirin+clopidogrel: 90-day stroke 8.2% → 11.7%, HR 0.68.
- POINT (NEJM 2018, n=4881) — 90 d DAPT: 90-day major ischaemic events HR 0.75; bleeding doubled, justifying the 21-day cap.
- THALES (NEJM 2020, n=11,016) — ticagrelor+aspirin × 30 d: HR 0.83 for stroke/death; severe bleeding rare but elevated.
Beyond the early window DAPT loses efficacy and accumulates bleeding (MATCH, SPS3) — not for chronic use in stroke.
Aspirin + extended-release dipyridamole
Dipyridamole inhibits platelet phosphodiesterase and adenosine reuptake. The ESPS-2 (1996) and ESPRIT (2006) trials showed aspirin+dipyridamole superior to aspirin alone (HR ~0.8). PRoFESS (NEJM 2008) showed it equivalent to clopidogrel monotherapy. Headache limits adherence; rarely first-line today.
Routine triple therapy or aspirin+ticagrelor for chronic prevention is not supported. For symptomatic intracranial atherosclerosis, the SAMMPRIS trial favoured aggressive medical therapy (DAPT 90 d + statin + BP) over stenting.
4. Anticoagulation in Atrial Fibrillation
Atrial fibrillation accounts for the largest fraction of preventable recurrent strokes. AF roughly quintuples stroke risk; AF-related strokes are larger (left atrial appendage thrombi) and twice as deadly as non-AF strokes. Anticoagulation cuts this risk by ~64% — among the largest risk reductions available in any branch of medicine.
CHA2DS2-VASc score
Estimates annual stroke risk in non-valvular AF. Anticoagulation indicated for score ≥2 (men) / ≥3 (women); shared decision for score 1 (men) / 2 (women).
| Risk factor | Letter | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Congestive heart failure | C | 1 |
| Hypertension | H | 1 |
| Age ≥75 | A2 | 2 |
| Diabetes mellitus | D | 1 |
| Stroke / TIA / thromboembolism | S2 | 2 |
| Vascular disease (MI, PAD, aortic plaque) | V | 1 |
| Age 65–74 | A | 1 |
| Sex category (female) | Sc | 1 |
Annual stroke risk rises non-linearly with score — rough heuristic \(\text{Risk}_{\text{annual}} \approx 0.2\% \cdot 2^{\text{score}}\). A previous stroke alone (S2=2) places every patient with AF in the anticoagulation zone.
HAS-BLED bleeding score
Hypertension, Abnormal renal/liver function, Stroke, Bleeding history, Labile INR, Elderly (>65), Drugs/alcohol. Score ≥3 = high bleeding risk — not a contraindication to anticoagulation, but a flag to address modifiable factors(BP, alcohol, NSAIDs). The patient who scores high on HAS-BLED almost always scores higher on CHA2DS2-VASc; net benefit usually still favours anticoagulation.
Direct Oral Anticoagulants (DOACs)
DOACs have replaced warfarin as first-line for non-valvular AF in modern guidelines: non-inferior efficacy, ~50% less intracranial haemorrhage, no INR monitoring, predictable kinetics. The four pivotal trials each enrolled ~14,000–21,000 patients vs warfarin:
| DOAC | Target | Pivotal trial | Stroke / SE vs warfarin | ICH vs warfarin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabigatran | Direct thrombin (IIa) | RE-LY (2009) | HR 0.66 (150 mg) | HR 0.40 |
| Rivaroxaban | Factor Xa | ROCKET-AF (2011) | HR 0.88 (non-inf) | HR 0.67 |
| Apixaban | Factor Xa | ARISTOTLE (2011) | HR 0.79 | HR 0.42 |
| Edoxaban | Factor Xa | ENGAGE-AF (2013) | HR 0.87 (60 mg) | HR 0.47 |
Apixaban is often preferred for the elderly and those with renal impairment (renal clearance ~25%); dabigatran is preferred only if reversal with idarucizumab is desired and renal function is good. Andexanet alfa reverses Xa inhibitors. Warfarin remains first-line for mechanical heart valves and moderate-severe mitral stenosis — DOACs failed in RE-ALIGN.
Timing of initiation after stroke
The classical “1-3-6-12 day” rule (TIA day 1, small stroke day 3, moderate day 6, large day 12) was always pragmatic rather than evidence-based. The ELAN (NEJM 2023) and OPTIMAS (Lancet 2024) trials showedearly DOAC initiation (within ~4 days) is at least as safe and reduces recurrence vs delayed start; bleeding does not rise. Practice is shifting earlier.
Left atrial appendage occlusion
For patients with absolute or relative anticoagulation contraindications, percutaneous LAA closure (Watchman device, PROTECT-AF, PREVAIL) prevents stroke at rates comparable to warfarin, eliminating long-term bleeding risk. Reserved for selected patients due to procedural complications and the residual stump risk.
5. Carotid Revascularisation
For symptomatic extracranial internal carotid artery stenosis, revascularisation on top of medical therapy reduces recurrent stroke. The classic trials defined the degree-of-stenosis threshold:
Symptomatic ≥70% stenosis
NASCET (NEJM 1991) — CEA cut 2-year ipsilateral stroke from 26% to 9% (ARR 17%, NNT ~6). ECST (1998) confirmed the benefit with European measurement. Time matters — benefit greatest if surgery within 2 weeks of TIA/minor stroke; near-zero by 12 weeks.
Symptomatic 50–69%
More modest benefit (NNT ~22 over 5 years); favours men, age ≥75, ulcerated plaque.
Asymptomatic ≥60–70%
Modest benefit historically (ACAS, ACST), but modern medical therapy has eroded the absolute gain. Selective intervention based on plaque features, life expectancy, and patient preference.
CEA vs CAS
CREST (NEJM 2010) showed equivalent long-term outcomes; CAS has more peri-procedural strokes (especially >70 y), CEA more peri-procedural MI. Age >70 favours CEA; difficult neck anatomy / contralateral occlusion favours CAS.
Trans-carotid artery revascularisation (TCAR) with proximal flow reversal is an emerging hybrid approach with peri-procedural stroke rates approaching CEA.
6. Statin & Lipid Therapy
The SPARCL trial (NEJM 2006, n=4731) gave atorvastatin 80 mg to patients with recent stroke or TIA and no known coronary disease: 5-year stroke recurrence 11.2% → 13.1% (HR 0.84, ARR 2.2%, NNT ~46). Mechanism is plaque stabilisation, anti-inflammatory effect, endothelial improvement — not solely LDL lowering, though LDL reduction tracks benefit.
Treat-to-target evidence
Treat Stroke to Target (NEJM 2020, n=2860, French) randomised post-stroke patients to LDL <70 vs 90–110 mg/dL; the lower target reduced major vascular events HR 0.78. ESC/AHA guidelines now recommend LDL <70 mg/dL (1.8 mmol/L), or <55 in those with established atherosclerotic disease.
Beyond statins
Ezetimibe (NPC1L1 inhibitor; IMPROVE-IT) adds modest reduction. PCSK9 inhibitors (alirocumab, evolocumab; FOURIER, ODYSSEY OUTCOMES) drive LDL to ~30 mg/dL with further event reduction; expensive. Inclisiran (siRNA) gives semi-annual dosing.
Caveat in haemorrhagic stroke. SPARCL hinted at a small absolute increase in ICH on intensive statin (especially in patients with a prior haemorrhagic event). Net benefit still favours statin in those with concurrent ischaemic risk; case-by-case assessment after lobar ICH or CAA.
7. Hypertension Control
Hypertension is the largest single modifiable risk factor for both ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke (~48% population-attributable risk in INTERSTROKE). Lowering BP after stroke is among the highest-yield interventions available.
PROGRESS (Lancet 2001)
6105 patients with prior stroke/TIA randomised to perindopril ± indapamide vs placebo. BP dropped 9/4 mmHg; recurrent stroke fell 28% (HR 0.72). Benefit independent of baseline BP — even normotensives benefited.
SPRINT & SPRINT-MIND (NEJM 2015, JAMA 2019)
Intensive BP target <120 systolic vs <140 reduced cardiovascular events HR 0.75 and all-cause mortality HR 0.73; SPRINT-MIND showed reduced incident MCI. Excluded prior stroke, but the principle — lower-is-better — supports a target ≤130/80 in stroke survivors who tolerate it.
SPS3 (Lancet 2013) — lacunar strokes
Target <130 vs 130–149 systolic in lacunar stroke: reduced recurrent stroke and ICH. Lacunar disease is particularly BP-driven.
Modern target: <130/80 mmHg in most stroke survivors (AHA/ASA 2021), individualised for tolerability and orthostasis. Class effect dominates — ACEi/ARB, calcium-channel blockers, and thiazides all reduce events; diuretic + ACEi combination has the strongest stroke-specific evidence (PROGRESS).
8. Lifestyle & Behavioural
Behavioural interventions are unglamorous, hard to deliver, and often the largest residual lever after pharmacology has been optimised.
Mediterranean diet
PREDIMED (NEJM 2013, Spanish, n=7447) — Mediterranean diet with extra-virgin olive oil or mixed nuts cut major cardiovascular events HR 0.70; the stroke component drove most of the benefit. DASH diet has similar BP-lowering evidence.
Exercise
Aerobic + resistance training improves BP, lipids, glycaemia, mood, and cardiorespiratory fitness. Target ≥150 min/wk moderate-intensity aerobic activity. In stroke survivors it improves gait, balance, and depression scores.
Smoking cessation
Stroke risk halves within 1 year of cessation, approaches never-smoker by 5 years. Combined behavioural + pharmacotherapy (varenicline, bupropion, NRT) is most effective; e-cigarette evidence is mixed and product-dependent.
Obstructive sleep apnoea
Prevalent in >50% of stroke survivors; drives nocturnal hypoxia, BP surges, AF. Polysomnography and CPAP reduce daytime sleepiness; cardiovascular outcome trials (SAVE) were neutral, but observational benefit is consistent.
Alcohol
J-shaped curve for ischaemic stroke; linear positive association for ICH and SAH. Heavy / binge drinking acutely raises stroke risk. Modern guidelines do not recommend starting alcohol for cardiovascular benefit; ≤1 drink/day for women, ≤2 for men is the upper limit.
Weight, glycaemia, depression
Central obesity (waist:hip) outperforms BMI as predictor. Diabetes management: HbA1c targets individualised; SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 agonists carry cardiovascular benefit. Post-stroke depression itself elevates recurrence; treat.
9. Patent Foramen Ovale Closure
A patent foramen ovale persists in ~25% of adults; in cryptogenic stroke (especially age <60), paradoxical embolism through PFO is a plausible mechanism. Three concurrent 2017 trials transformed practice:
| Trial | N | Comparator | Effect on recurrence |
|---|---|---|---|
| RESPECT (NEJM 2017) | 980 | Closure vs medical | HR 0.45 (long-term f-up) |
| REDUCE (NEJM 2017) | 664 | Closure + antiplatelet vs antiplatelet | HR 0.23 |
| CLOSE (NEJM 2017) | 663 | Closure vs antiplatelet vs anticoag | HR ~0 (closure 0/238 vs 14/235) |
Pooled NNT ~33 over 5 years to prevent one stroke. Atrial fibrillation occurs more commonly post-closure (~3–5%), usually transient. Patient selection uses the ROPE score (Risk of Paradoxical Embolism; Kent 2013) — younger patients without classical risk factors and large/shunting PFOs have the highest probability that the PFO is causal.
Recommended for: cryptogenic stroke patients aged 18–60 with high-risk PFO features (atrial septal aneurysm, large shunt) and otherwise unexplained mechanism. Not recommended in older patients with vascular risk factors where the alternative mechanism (small-vessel, occult AF) is more likely.
10. Neuroplasticity & Recovery Biology
Recovery after stroke is not the dead returning to life — it is the surviving brain reorganising to do work the infarcted tissue can no longer do. The biology proceeds on several timescales.
Acute reorganisation (hours–days)
Resolution of oedema and diaschisis (depressed activity in remote regions connected to the lesion). Penumbral tissue spared by reperfusion contributes rapid early recovery. Up-regulation of GABAergic inhibition initially limits plasticity; reversal of this around day 7–14 opens the recovery window.
Subacute critical period (1–3 months)
The brain enters a heightened plasticity state resembling juvenile critical periods (Carmichael et al.). Activity-dependent unmasking of latent connections, synaptogenesis, dendritic spine turnover, and axonal sprouting. Most spontaneous motor recovery occurs during this window — it is precisely when high-intensity rehabilitation pays off most.
Cortical map reorganisation
Penfield-style somatotopic maps are not fixed; perilesional and contralesional cortex can take over functions of damaged tissue. fMRI shows motor task activation shifting toward perilesional motor cortex, premotor areas, and (in larger strokes) the contralesional hemisphere.
Chronic phase (>6 months) — plasticity is not zero
Earlier dogma claimed recovery plateaued at 6 months; modern data show experience-dependent gains continue for years given sufficient training intensity. The recovery rate falls; the recovery ceiling is not pre-determined.
The proportional recovery rule (Prabhakaran et al. 2008) observed that ~70% of upper-limb impairment is recovered in patients without severe motor cortex/CST damage — a reproducible regularity that constrains expectations and identifies non-fitters who need different strategies.
11. Rehabilitation
Acute reperfusion saves brain at minute scale; rehabilitation determines what the patient can do with what is left. The single strongest predictor of recovery, after initial severity, is therapy intensity — hours per day of task-specific, dose-driven, goal-oriented practice.
Motor rehabilitation
Constraint-Induced Movement Therapy (CIMT)
The unaffected limb is restrained for many hours a day, forcing use of the paretic arm in massed practice. The EXCITE trial (JAMA 2006) showed durable functional gain. Requires some residual wrist/finger extension; not for the most severe cases.
Robotic & technology-assisted therapy
End-effector and exoskeletal devices provide high-dose, repetitive practice beyond therapist-only intensity. RATULS and meta-analyses show modest motor gains; primary value is dose multiplication. Body-weight-supported treadmill training (Lokomat, gait trainers) supports gait re-acquisition.
Bobath / NDT & PNF
Neurodevelopmental treatment (Bobath) aims to inhibit abnormal tone and facilitate normal movement; proprioceptive neuromuscular facilitation (PNF) uses spiral/ diagonal patterns. Modern evidence shows neither is superior to task-specific practice; they remain widely used worldwide as conceptual frameworks.
Brain stimulation
rTMS / tDCS modulate inter-hemispheric balance (e.g. inhibit the over-active contralesional hemisphere). Evidence remains mixed; useful adjunct in some programmes. Vagus nerve stimulation paired with rehabilitation (VNS-REHAB, Lancet 2021) showed benefit in chronic upper-limb hemiparesis — FDA approved 2021.
Aphasia & communication
Intensive language therapy (≥5 h/wk over weeks) improves naming, comprehension, and functional communication beyond spontaneous recovery; constraint- induced aphasia therapy (CIAT) extends the CIMT principle to language. Melodic intonation therapy exploits right-hemisphere singing pathways for non-fluent aphasia. Computerised therapy and tele-rehabilitation extend dose access.
Hemispatial neglect
Prism adaptation — right-shifting prism goggles during reaching tasks induce a leftward after-effect that reduces left neglect for hours to weeks. Visual scanning training, limb activation, and (experimentally) caloric/galvanic vestibular stimulation provide modest gains. Neglect is a strong negative prognostic feature for functional independence.
Post-stroke depression
Affects ~33% of survivors; under-recognised; worsens motor recovery, cognition, and mortality. Screen with PHQ-9. SSRIs (sertraline, citalopram) are first-line; psycho- therapy effective. The fluoxetine-and-recovery story is instructive: FLAME (Lancet Neurol 2011) suggested fluoxetine 20 mg accelerated motor recovery beyond mood effect — but the much larger FOCUS (Lancet 2019, n=3127), EFFECTS(n=1500), and AFFINITY (n=1280) trials were neutral for functional recovery. Fluoxetine is not recommended routinely for motor recovery; treat depression on its own merits.
Stroke-unit care & intensity
Cochrane meta-analysis: organised stroke-unit care reduces death-or-dependency by ~21% compared with general-ward care — the largest organisational effect in stroke medicine, with no marginal cost beyond co-locating expertise. Multidisciplinary teams (PT, OT, SLT, neuropsychology, social work, nursing) co-ordinate goals and dose.
Recovery trajectories (schematic)
Logistic-shape recovery curves over weeks–months, with the steepest gains in the subacute critical period and a plateau that is asymptotic, not absolute.
Schematic only — individual trajectories vary widely with lesion location/size, age, baseline function, and therapy dose. Aphasia recovery is typically slower than motor recovery for the same severity. Severe motor strokes with corticospinal-tract disconnection plateau at much lower ceilings (the “non-fitters” of the proportional recovery rule).
Across modalities, a single principle dominates: dose drives outcome. Most rehabilitation programmes worldwide deliver far less practice than animal models suggest is necessary; the frontier is intensity scaling via robotics, tele-rehabilitation, gamification, and home-based programmes.
12. Long-Term Outcomes & Disability
The lived outcome of stroke is captured in standardised measures that anchor trials and clinical conversation:
| mRS | Description |
|---|---|
| 0 | No symptoms at all |
| 1 | No significant disability despite symptoms; usual duties |
| 2 | Slight disability; unable to carry out all previous activities, but independent |
| 3 | Moderate disability; requires some help, walks unaided |
| 4 | Moderately severe; unable to walk unassisted, unable to attend to bodily needs |
| 5 | Severe; bedridden, incontinent, requires constant care |
| 6 | Dead |
mRS 0–2 is the conventional definition of functional independence and the primary endpoint of most acute-stroke trials. The Barthel Index (0–100) measures activities of daily living more granularly. NIHSS (acute), FMA (Fugl-Meyer, motor), and the Stroke Impact Scale (patient-reported) round out the toolkit.
~25%
die within 1 year of stroke
~50%
survivors with lasting disability
~30%
develop post-stroke cognitive impairment
Return to work. ~40–60% of working-age survivors return, often part-time or with accommodations; predictors include younger age, mild stroke (NIHSS <5), preserved cognition, white-collar work, supportive employer, and access to vocational rehabilitation. Failure to return correlates with depression and reduced quality of life independent of physical recovery.
Community reintegration. Beyond mRS lies participation: re-engaging in roles, relationships, and meaning. Social isolation, caregiver burden, and post-stroke fatigue (~50% prevalence, often invisible) shape the human outcome. Survivor-led peer support, community rehabilitation, and long-term follow-up clinics address what hospitals leave undone.
Post-stroke cognitive impairment and vascular dementia — same vasculature, same risk factors, same prevention — bind stroke care to dementia prevention. Aggressive vascular risk-factor control after stroke probably reduces incident dementia, though dedicated trials remain limited.
Return to start
Part I: Overview & Epidemiology
Re-read the framing chapter armed with everything that followed.
Cross-course
Pharmacology
Antithrombotics, anticoagulants, antihypertensives, statins in mechanistic depth.
Cross-course
Neuroscience
Synaptic plasticity, critical periods, cortical map dynamics — the biology behind rehabilitation.